Topic outline

  • Nowcasting and forecasting infectious disease dynamics (June 24-26)

    This course page is not finalized: more information will appear later


    Course Instructors

    Sebastian Funk,  London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
    Sam Abbott, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine
    Katherine Sheratt, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine

    Course contents:
    • delay distributions and how to estimate them; discrete convolutions
    • Rt estimation and the generation interval
    • nowcasting (i.e. correcting for right truncation in infectious disease count data)
    • forecasting and evaluation, ensemble methods

    Time and Place

    All lectures take place at Stockholm University in Campus Albano, house 1, level 2, room ??. See 
    Registration and Venue for further details.

    Lecture times (includes also problem solving, tutorials, computer sessions, ...): 

    Monday June 24: 9.00-10.30, 11.00-12.30, 14.00-15.30, 16.00-17.30

    Tuesday June 25: 9.00-10.30, 11.00-12.30, 14.00-15.30, 16.00-17.30

    Wednesday June 26: 9.00-10.30, 11.00-12.30

    General prerequisites

    It is expected that course participants have basic knowledge of statistics and mathematics and rudimentary knowledge of infectious disease epidemiology. It is also expected that participants have basic computer software knowledge and preferably are familiar with the software R. 

    IMPORTANT: All participants are expected to bring a laptop with R installed on it.

    Additional prerequisites for this course

    Participant are expected to be familiar with R since this will be heavily used in the module.

    Relevant literature


    Back to main page of ESPIDAM

  • Sources for R

    Instructions for installing R, introduction to R?

  • Monday, June 24

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  • Tuesday, June 25

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  • Wednesday, June 26

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